Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Memphis (20-36) | 0 | 3 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 1 | +6.0 | 19% | ✔ | |
Houston (38-25) | 2 | 5 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -6.0 | 81% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Connecticut (37-22-1) | 6 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 50% | ✘ | |
South Florida (36-22-1) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 5 | -0.5 | 50% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Cincinnati (28-28) | 3 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 5 | +0.5 | 50% | ✔ | |
Tulane (25-33) | 5 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 6 | -0.5 | 50% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
East Carolina (44-18) | 1 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 5 | -1.0 | 58% | ✘ | |
UCF (35-21) | 9 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +1.0 | 42% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Furman (24-28) | 1 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 3 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
Wichita State (35-21-1) | 11 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 8 | -4.5 | 75% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 60%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 60%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.